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Recap:
Yields and the US Dollar continue to create havoc on market participant’s expectations of inflation. Also, participants are still worried about exactly what President Trump’s policy will be as he takes office in 8 days. These combined with the fact that congress has yet to pass a debt ceiling resolution bill for continued government spending.
I have had a lackluster month of performance as I position for the year.
Relevant Topics, News, and Data: Month of January:
Earnings begin
Thursday Bessent’s 1/16 congressional hearing
1/20 inauguration
Wednesday 1/15 CPI
Yellen’s “extraordinary measures” window starts Tuesday Jan 14th-23rd
(This is not new, she has done it before)China stimulus?
Answers are coming to the market over the next couple weeks. CPI can shed light on how inflation is post-fomc powell’s flip flop.